BartCopSports

3/21/2003

Cal 76, NC State 74 (ot)

Game of the day. Three three-point attempts in the last 13 seconds, two of them connect. Just a fantastic game.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:47:00 AM
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Gonzaga 74, Cincy 69

Skinner missed a breakawy dunk, only to come back down the court and blaock the potential game-tying three. Redemption!

Key stat: 2 game ejections for the Bearcats

I didn't see the ejections, but the whistles did go Gonzaga's way. Then again, Cincinnati is an extraordinarily physical team. They commit lots of fould, Huggins is surprised by this?
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:46:00 AM
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Mizzou 72, SIU 71

Highway robbery. and another reason CBS sucks, they refused to show a replay of the most controversial call of the day. That was such a charge.

Key stat: The teams combined to go 22-39 from the line.

Neither team could hit a free throw, enabling the other side to stay in the game. both built up good leads in the last five minutes, only to watch it crumble because, wel, they couldn't hit a free throw. Ironic that Mizzou would win on a free throw.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:42:00 AM
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UConn 58, BYU 53

And the committee breathes a little easier...

Key stat: BYU shot 2-17 from three and 20-64 from the floor

Ouch! That's some pretty awful shooting. What more can you say?
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:39:00 AM
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ASU 84, Memphis 71

Really, not even that close.

Key stat: Diogu shot 9 of 11 for 22 points

Memphis just got a terrible draw. They matched up horribly with the power game of the Sun Devils, who just fed it to Diogu. No one on Memphis could stop him.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:35:00 AM
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Notre Dame 70, UWM 69

No one feels worse than Dylan Page. He missed layups on two consecutive possessions in the final minute. And it was his man who hit the game-winner for the Irish.

Key stat: Notre Dame committed 20 turnovers

The Irish begged UWM to beat them. They practically sent them an engraved invitation. This one had early round upset written all over it. I'm still mystified how UWM managed to lose.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:33:00 AM
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Wisconsin 81. Weber 74

Weber was a chic pick. Heck, I had them in the Sweet 16 of my bracket, but they just couldn't hit the broadside of a barn last night. Some nights are like that.

Key stat: Every Wisconsin play, save one, shot over 50% from the floor.

While Weber couldn't buy a bucket, every Badger brought their A game and shot the lights out. Just consider, Wisconsin had 1 less three-pointer in 8 less attempts, and 2 more baskets in 13 less attempts. Yikes.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:29:00 AM
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Stanford 77. San Diego 69

It never felt like SDU would pull the upset, even when they took a late lead. Just a wierd feeling I had.

Key stat: SDU shot 4-18 from three

Your not going to win jacking up 18 three-pointers if you're not even hitting them at a 25% clip. It's simple as that, particularly the way Stanford controlled the middle defensively, even with Keep getting his points.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:24:00 AM
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CMU 79, Creighton 72

If you would have told me Kaman would have 12 points and 6 rebounds, I would have guessed Creighton won by 15.

Key stat: CMU had 13 steals.

This game was keyed by the Chippewas backcourt, not their huge interior advantage. They got out to a 20-point lead because they dominated the guard play as well. and they trapped the hell out of the Jays.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:20:00 AM
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Marquette 72, Holy Cross 68

Big shot by Diener puts this one away. You gotta feel bad for HC, who seems to come up just short every year.

Key stat: Marquette shot 9-16 from three.

When you shot over 50% from beyond the arc, chances are, you're gonna win. Holy Cross shot well, but not nearly as well as Marquette.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:17:00 AM
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Illinois 65, WKU 60

A close game throughout, decided in the final minute. Another close call without an upset.

Key stat: Illinois shot .857 from the line

Free throws made the difference. These teams put up almost identical numbers except from the stripe, where WKU missed 5 and Illinois only missed two. Hit your free throws.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:14:00 AM
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Kansas 64, Utah St 61

This game shouldn't have come down to the last shot, but that's what happen when you can't buy a free throw.

Ket stat: Kansas shot .545 from the line and .549 from the field.

Yeah, that's right. Kansas shot worse without defenders in the way. Poor free throw shooting will absolutely kill you in the tournament. Kansas cannotafford another night like that.
posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:11:00 AM
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Duke 67, CSU 57

Oh, so close. The Rams just couldn't get over the hump, consistently getting the game back down to two, only to see Duke put them back down.

Ket stat: The teams combined to go 37-for-108.

An ugly night shooting the ball kept CSU in the game, but they couldn't hit the shots when they needed to. Their numbers were remarkably similar for the game, but Duke just had their little bursts whenever the game got close.

posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 08:03:00 AM
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Tulsa 84, Dayton 71

Believe it or not, it was tied with 1:30 to play.
Key Stat: Tulsa was 8-12 from three

Let's think about that for amoment. Tulsa shot 67% from beyond the arc. That's ludicrous. That's also the key to pulling a big upset in the tourney. Playing way over your head, which is what Tulsa did. Tulsa also shot 57% from the field, meaning that shot worse from inside the arc than outside it.


posted by Poseur 3/21/2003 07:58:00 AM
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3/20/2003

Basketball and war

Well, here we are, in a war with Iraq and the biggest basketball tournmaent in the nation about to get underway. I feel kind of silly, writing a sports blog while there's about to be a lot of dying half a world away. But that's what I do. There's plenty of other places to get analysis on the Iraq War, if you're on this page, you want to read about sports. So if you don't want to engage in the frivolity that is sports, go surf somewhere else. It's okay, I won't be offended.

I will say that sports do matter. They are part of the fabric of our lives, and it's the basis of communication between strangers and family members. One of my greatest memories of my dad is when he complained that Lasorda sending in Kirk Gibson as a pinch hitter was the worst move ever, "This guy has to hit a home run just to make it to first base!" Crack! It's a common language we share, and a common, albeit sometimes unhealthy, fascination that makes us all one nation. So go watch the games. Or the war coverage. Whatever makes you happy. I'm certainly in no position to judge.


posted by Poseur 3/20/2003 09:51:00 AM
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3/19/2003

First off, congrats to UNC-Ashville. It was a really good game, and it's shame about three people watched it. I feel really bad for Texas Southern. Yeah, they were in the tourney, but they missed on the chance to rreally be a part of it, go to a big venue, partake in a weekend of basketball, and get to tell their grandkids they got pasted by Kentucky. It's a shame.

Now, last advice to those of you filling out your bracket. I looked at the last three years, and tracked how each seed performed. What these numbers are is the # of Final Fours, regional runners-up, then the Sweet 16 teams who didn't advance. The final number is how many made the Sweet 16 out of a possible 12 teams (3 years times 4 teams).

1- 5/2/2=9
2- 2/3/1=6
3- 1/1/2=4
4- 0/0/7=7

OK, let's look at that first group. It's likely one #1 seed won't make the Sweet 16 and two will reach the Final Four. The #2 seeds only make the Sweet 16 half of the time, and probably one team seeded 2 or 3 will make the Final Four. Then comes the drop-off. 4-seeds advance to the Sweet 16 more frequently than any other seed, only to get pasted by the 1-seed.

5- 2/0/1=3
6- 0/2/3=5
7- 0/1/1=2
8- 2/0/1=3

What's up with 8-seeds? If they manage to upset the #1, they seem to get inspired an go the whole way. It's a safe bet to take one of each seed to advance to the Sweet 16, one to lose in the regional finals, and one to crash the party in New Orleans.

9- 0/0/0=0
10- 0/1/3=4
11- 0/1/1=2
12- 0/1/1=2

About three double-digit seeds will advance to the Sweet 16. one will make the regional finals. None will go to the Final Four.

Just remember this when filling out your brackets. you pick all chalk, you're going to lose, but take calculated risks. Your final four should have two 1-seeds, and 2 or a 3, and maybe an oddball choice, but no lower than a 8. Take three double-digit sees to make the Sweet 16. You won't win your pool by playing close to the vest. Pick your spots and go.
posted by Poseur 3/19/2003 01:53:00 PM
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First off, congrats to UNC-Ashville. It was a really good game, and it's shame about three people watched it. I feel really bad for Texas Southern. Yeah, they were in the tourney, but they missed on the chance to rreally be a part of it, go to a big venue, partake in a weekend of basketball, and get to tell their grandkids they got pasted by Kentucky. It's a shame.

Now, last advice to those of you filling out your bracket. I looked at the last three years, and tracked how each seed performed. What these numbers are is the # of Final Fours, regional runners-up, then the Sweet 16 teams who didn't advance. The final number is how many made the Sweet 16 out of a possible 12 teams (3 years times 4 teams).

1- 5/2/2=9
2- 2/3/1=6
3- 1/1/2=4
4- 0/0/7=7

OK, let's look at that first group. It's likely one #1 seed won't make the Sweet 16 and two will reach the Final Four. The #2 seeds only make the Sweet 16 half of the time, and probably one team seeded 2 or 3 will make the Final Four. Then comes the drop-off. 4-seeds advance to the Sweet 16 more frequently than any other seed, only to get pasted by the 1-seed.

5- 2/0/1=3
6- 0/2/3=5
7- 0/1/1=2
8- 2/0/1=3

What's up with 8-seeds? If they manage to upset the #1, they seem to get inspired an go the whole way. It's a safe bet to take one of each seed to advance to the Sweet 16, one to lose in the regional finals, and one to crash the party in New Orleans.

9- 0/0/0=0
10- 0/1/3=4
11- 0/1/1=2
12- 0/1/1=2

About three double-digit seeds will advance to the Sweet 16. one will make the regional finals. None will go to the Final Four.

Just remember this when filling out your brackets. you pick all chalk, you're going to lose, but take calculated risks. Your final four should have two 1-seeds, and 2 or a 3, and maybe an oddball choice, but no lower than a 8. Take three double-digit sees to make the Sweet 16. You won't win your pool by playing close to the vest. Pick your spots and go.
posted by Poseur 3/19/2003 01:52:00 PM
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3/18/2003

Some modifications to my picks.

The only reason I didn't pick Xavier was because of the name on their jersey. I'm scared to pick an A-10 team, but you know what? That's stupid. They have a great inside-outside combo, they play killer defense, and they have beaten plenty of top 25 teams. They aren't a paper tiger. So I'm sorry, I'm changing my South pick to Xavier. They are the best team in that region.

Also, I didn't notice that the West has some cool first round match-ups. In the bottom half of the bracket, in three of the four games, the lower-seeded team has the advantage in the frontcourt. CSU's advantage is slight over Duke, but ASU has a huge advantage over Memphis, and Central Michigan has a signifigant talent advantage against Creighton. The higher seeds need to come up with an answer for the lower seeds post players, which is really a bizarre turnaround of how these games normally work. Normally, it's the double digit seeds who have matchip problems caused by a smallish lineup.


posted by Poseur 3/18/2003 01:22:00 PM
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BYU is hopping mad

"What's going on here?'' Wardenburg said Monday during an interview on Salt Lake City's KFAN-AM. "It isn't like we're some IUPUI, like we started the program eight years ago. I think we've been in the NCAA tournament once or twice before.''

Actually, the basketball program at Indiana-Purdue-Indianapolis began 20 years ago, but you get Wardenburg's drift. He is less than pleased with the selection committee, which not only placed BYU in the South Regional, which plays its final on a Sunday, but also seeded the Cougars a lowly 12th. Didn't BYU win a share of the Mountain West regular-season title? Hasn't it won 23 games? Isn't it the 19th-best team in the country according to the ever-so-important Ratings Percentage Index?

Other tournament teams might have complaints about their seeding or their region, but they can't top the abuses heaped on BYU.


Good for BYU. I'm rooting for them. First, it's in the NCAA rules on how to make the bracket, and the committee just forgot. Mainly because they expected the Cougars to lose. Then they slapped the Cougars with a 12-seed. That's only 7 places away from their RPI. That's right, 19th in the RPI, BYU lacks a big quality win, so I can understand knocking them down a bit. But to a 12? Are you kidding me?

No team has more motivation now to go out and stun the basketball world. I hope they do.

posted by Poseur 3/18/2003 01:05:00 PM
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OrlandoSentinel.com: Gators

As we prepare for war, as the state budget deficit climbs to $4 billion, as our literacy rate sinks and unemployment soars, it's comforting to know state legislators will be spending at least a little time this session on what's really important.

"Florida and Miami should play every year on the football field," said state Rep. Roger Wishner, D-Plantation. "It's an important game."

In case you aren't a subscriber to Sports Illustrated or the Congressional Review, let me fill you in: Wishner is sponsoring the "Intercollegiate Athletics Bill," which states "that the University of Miami and the University of Florida football teams shall play each other on an annual basis beginning in 2004."


Hey, at least Florida can take care of what matters, right? Who cares if they can't even count votes correctly?

Right?
posted by Poseur 3/18/2003 01:01:00 PM
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Oh please, please, please.

In the event of war in Iraq, CBS might switch its early-round NCAA Tournament telecasts to ESPN. Officials from both networks acknowledged that possibility Monday.

Let me say, I hate CBS Sports. Expressly, I hate Billy Packer, the king of pompous windbags who spout out common knowledge as if he came to some sort of hard-hitting analysis. Sat what you will about dick vitale, at least he's fun. And I'll take Len Elmore any day of the week.

ESPN and the tourney? Pinch me.


posted by Poseur 3/18/2003 12:56:00 PM
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3/17/2003

SOUTH
#1 TEXAS. Go ahead, pick the team with TJ Ford and nothing else. I dare you. They are a .500 team on the road and rely on killer defense to win. All it takes is one team (hello, LSU?) to have a great shooting night to kill their Final Four hopes.

SLEEPER: Maryland. Sure, it’s a chic pick, but it’s a good one. Lots of senior talent, a good inside-outside game, killer guard play. What’s not to like about this team? Oh, they’ve played like choking dogs down the stretch.

BRACKET BUSTER: BYU. For real. IF BYU wins twice, it actually breaks the bracket, and the NCAA would swap them with the corresponding slot in the Midwest. Why not trade Weber St right now? And this just in, BYU’s pretty good. Outside of their bizarre voodoo hex on Syracuse, UConn can’t beat anyone with a pulse. Also, LSU’s perimeter game coupled with some big boys inside could key a deep run.

PICK. Well, I’m picking against Texas. I love the winner of Maryland-Xavier (provided it happens of course). Don’t be fooled, the Musketeers deserve the three. And I don’t read too much into their recent slide, but I think in a rematch, Florida won’t beat Maryland. I’m going with the Terps.

EAST
#1 OKLAHOMA. Defense, defense, defense. And a healthy dose of Hollis Price. They are a very tough team, but they don’t have the capability of blowing you off the court, they wear you down instead.

SLEEPER: Oklahoma St. This is a team that went toe to toe with the big boys in the Big 12. They know they can beat anyone in the country. They also play killer defense and have four players averaging more than double figures, meaning they can handle an off-game from a starter.

BRACKET BUSTER: Manhattan. The Jaspers already have some big East scalps this season, and won’t be intimidated going against Syracuse. The Orangemen have a great draw and could stay very close to home, but if they overlook their first round opponent, that draw won’t do them any good.

PICK. There’s lots of landmines. Mississippi State is playing great, but they have Butler. Wake has to go to Albany. Syracuse has Manhattan and then either OSU or Penn. I like Oklahoma to survive by a series of close games.

MIDWEST
#1 KENTUCKY. This just in, Kentucky is really good. They haven’t even allowed 70 points since Notre Dame scored 72 in mid-January. That’s two months of domination.

SLEEPER: Alabama. Look, they didn’t forget how to play in the course of the year. The team is still loaded with talent. If they put it together, they have the skill to beat any team in the field.

BRACKET BUSTER: Weber State. This just in, Weber’s better than Wisconsin. Remember the name: Jermaine Boyette. He’s the key to the upset special. Also, beware the Salukis.

PICK. I like Pitt a whole lot. Brevin knight’s a star, they play a fun style, and they’ve been on the big stage before. That said, Kentucky is going to crush everybody. There’s no reason to believe the Wildcats won’t roll.

WEST
#1 ARIZONA. That’s what you get for publicly mouthing off about not caring about the conference tourney. You get the bracket from hell. Arizona teams seem to come in two varieties: Final Four teams and spectacular flameouts. This team has spectacular flameout written all over them.

SLEEPER: Memphis. Did anyone else notice the Tigers rip through the month of February? And what about Creighton, a really good team with All-American candidate Corver? Heck, Gonzaga’s a 9-seed and they’re good enough to go to the Elite Eight. Blake Stepp’s got game, and the Zags are at their best when they aren’t in the spotlight.

BRACKET BUSTER: Western Kentucky. This is a preseason top 25 team. They’ve had the injury bug, but they play a tough brand of basketball. Actually, the strength of this bracket isn’t only in it’s top seeds, but in it’s double digit seeds. CSU can shoot the lights out, UW-Milwaukee is very talented, Utah State is well-coached and experienced, and Central Michigan can play with anybody.

PICK. Anyone can come out of this bracket. Seriously. It’s loaded at the top, it’s loaded in the middle, and it’s loaded at the bottom. There isn’t a single team who isn’t among the best two teams at their respective seed. Seriously. Arizona is the #2 one-seed. Kansas the best two. Duke the best three. Illinois the best four. OK, Notre Dame sucks, but so do most fives. It keeps going, all the way down to #16 Vermont. Take Kansas and pray.

posted by Poseur 3/17/2003 05:44:00 PM
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I'll break down the brackets in a bit, but I'd like to say I got 64 of 65 teams correct, only missing on Boston College and Alabama. I didn't do quite as well on seeding, getting 53 within one of their seed. The only real misses was the complete lack of respect paid the Mountain West, and UConn's ridiculously high seed. I'm sorry, there is not a more overrated team in the country than UConn, a team that can't beat decent teams unless it's Syracuse. They were supposed to be good, but they have been a mediocre team all year, and suddenly winning three in a row before getting pasted by Pitt means nothing to me.

I'm still trying to figure out why the committe hates BYU. They are 19th in the RPI. They're strength of schedule is 24th in the nation. They played well on the road. OK, the lack of big-time wins knocked them down, which is why I knocked them down to a 7, but a 12? That's like saying they were the last team in. And then screwing them putting them in a region with a Friday/Sunday regional? Not a good job by the committee there, missing a simple procedural thing like that. you can always quibble about Team A or Team B, but actually missing the BYU Sunday rule is just careless.

Oh, and Billy Packer is a moron. Getting bent out of shpae about Texas Tech getting left out of the field? Seriously? and his pick for the final Four, "all chalk"? Jesus, my dog could have made that pick.


posted by Poseur 3/17/2003 08:17:00 AM
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3/16/2003

Here it is, my final guess.


1 Arizona, Kentucky, Kansas, Oklahoma

2 Texas, Marquette, Wake, Cuse

3 Florida, Duke, Xavier, Pitt

4 Stanford, Illinois, Utah, L’ville

5 N Dame, Wisconsin, Dayton, Memphis

6 Okie St, Maryland, Creighton, Mizzou

7 Miss St, BYU, Cincy, LSU

8 Mich St, Oregon, St Joe’s, Purdue

9 Cal, Colorado, So. Illinois, Arizona St

10 UConn, Butler, Indiana, Auburn

11 Weber St, BC, NC State, Gonzaga

12 W Kentucky, Penn, UW-Milwaukee, Cent Mich

13 Col St, Tulsa, San Diego, UNCW

14 Manhattan, Troy St, Holy Cross, Utah St

15 Valpo, Austin Peay, ETSU, Sam Houston St

16 Vermont, Tex Southern, SC St, Wagner, UNCA


NIT Seton Hall, Tennessee, St Louis, Bama


*If Ohio St wins today, they get an automatic bid as 12-seed. WKU becomes an 11 and Gonzaga is out
*If Miss St wins today, they become a 6-seed, Creighton becomes a 7.


I went back and forth on SHU and Gonzaga about 10 times. In the end, Seton Hall has a lower non-conference RPI, road record, and overall record. Gonzaga has a marginally lower RPI and similar, but inferior performance in games against the RPI top 50. Gonzaga’s advantages in their categories were bigger then SHU’s. Tennessee is out because they are without a star player and look terrible without him. Besides, their profile has lots of negatives. St. Louis’ run justwasn’t enough, and Bama… well, don’t lose to Vandy.


My last four in are Gonzaga, NC State, BC, and Auburn. I’ve broken down Gonzaga before, but they have played even up with the best teams in the country. NC State lacked a real quality win, now they have one, and while I could leave out 9-7 in the ACC, I can’t leave out 11-8 (if they lose today, if they win, it’s a moot point). BC has lots in common with Gonzaga actually. Good numbers across the board without the big wins.


And away we go….

posted by Poseur 3/16/2003 09:21:00 AM
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